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Mid-market deal flow hit its lowest level of the year last month, but dealmakers point to strong pipelines and rising seller interest as signs that activity could accelerate through year-end.
Deal flow cooled sharply in July as macroeconomic uncertainty and a sluggish private equity exit environment continued to weigh on transactions, though year-to-date activity remains ahead of 2025.
First-half deal volume and value rose from a year ago as private equity exits gained urgency, valuation expectations aligned and activity broadened across most sectors.
As bulge brackets push down and boutiques refine their edge, the fight for engagements is intensifying—rewarding bankers who bring precision, relationships and process discipline.
Despite geopolitical tensions and energy-price swings, advisers say liquidity remains strong and buyers with conviction are finding attractive opportunities in a more disciplined M&A environment.
May 26, 2026
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As capital returns and buyers underwrite future gains, founders face a narrowing window where early movers can secure premium outcomes before a wave of delayed sellers crowds the market.